Bias Correction for Estimators of the Residual Variancein the ARMA ( 1 , 1 ) Model 1

نویسنده

  • Pedro A. Morettin
چکیده

We consider the ARMA(1,1) model and deal with the estimation of the residual variance. Results are known for the maximum likelihood(ML) es-timators under normality, both for known and unknowm mean, in which case the asymptotic biases depend on the number of parameters(including the mean) and on the true residual variance, but not on the values of the remaining parameters. For moment and least squares estimators the situation is diierent: the asymptotic biases depend on the values of the parameters, besides the true variance. Some simulation results are also presented.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Empirical Bayes Estimators with Uncertainty Measures for NEF-QVF Populations

The paper proposes empirical Bayes (EB) estimators for simultaneous estimation of means in the natural exponential family (NEF) with quadratic variance functions (QVF) models. Morris (1982, 1983a) characterized the NEF-QVF distributions which include among others the binomial, Poisson and normal distributions. In addition to the EB estimators, we provide approximations to the MSE’s of t...

متن کامل

Estimation in ARMA models based on signed ranks

In this paper we develop an asymptotic theory for estimation based on signed ranks in the ARMA model when the innovation density is symmetrical. We provide two classes of estimators and we establish their asymptotic normality with the help of the asymptotic properties for serial signed rank statistics. Finally, we compare our procedure to the one of least-squares, and we illustrate the performa...

متن کامل

Analysis of ecological time series with ARMA(p,q) models.

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are useful statistical tools to examine the dynamical characteristics of ecological time-series data. Here, we illustrate the utility and challenges of applying ARMA (p,q) models, where p is the dimension of the autoregressive component of the model, and q is the dimension of the moving average component. We focus on parameter estimation and model sel...

متن کامل

A comparative simulation study of AR(1) estimators in short time series

Various estimators of the autoregressive model exist. We compare their performance in estimating the autocorrelation in short time series. In Study 1, under correct model specification, we compare the frequentist r1 estimator, C-statistic, ordinary least squares estimator (OLS) and maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and a Bayesian method, considering flat (Bf) and symmetrized reference (Bsr) p...

متن کامل

Maximum Likelihood Estimators for ARMA and ARFIMA Models: A Monte Carlo Study

Abstract We analyze by simulation the properties of two time domain and two frequency domain estimators for low order autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average Gaussian models, ARFIMA (p; d; q). The estimators considered are the exact maximum likelihood for demeaned data, EML, the associated modi ed pro le likelihood, MPL, and the Whittle estimator with, WLT, and without tapered dat...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1999